What is the current probability for "PSG wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 25, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "PSG wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 537.0% and 12801.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "PSG wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

PSG wins by over 2.5 goals?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that PSG wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $36,285.46·OI $19,616.3·Closes Apr 25, 2026·14d remaining

KXLIGUE1SPREAD-26APR25ANGPSG-PSG2

7-day price55 snapshots · 12 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 211¢Apr 25

Resolution rules

If PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Angers vs PSG professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 537.0%

IY (No) 12801.2%

Adj IY 12648%

CRI 5

RV 864%

VR 2.91

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	537.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	12801.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	12648%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	864%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.91	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.4/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.01	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/25/2026, 7:47:32 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 6:53:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXLIGUE1SPREAD-26APR25ANGPSG-PSG2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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