Toronto vs Atlanta Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Toronto vs Atlanta Winner?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026. This market shows severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 8¢ spread and an extraordinary 6599.2% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus but rather a liquidity void.
Analysis
This market shows severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 8¢ spread and an extraordinary 6599.2% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus but rather a liquidity void. With only 21 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, the market is approaching resolution with minimal trading activity, making any position highly speculative and difficult to exit. The game's original April 25, 2026 scheduling date has apparently passed, raising questions about whether this contract remains valid or if resolution is imminent.
Resolution rules
If Atlanta wins the Toronto vs Atlanta professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLSGAME-26APR25TORATL-ATL yes 100