Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers
Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers. This contract trades at 50¢ on Kalshi, closing November 1, 2026. This Cleveland playoff qualifier contract shows extreme volatility (441% realized vol) with a massive 299.8% annualized yield on the Yes side, but the $0 24-hour volume and tight $7,147.59 open interest suggest severe illiquidity that likely inflates the yield figure.
Analysis
This Cleveland playoff qualifier contract shows extreme volatility (441% realized vol) with a massive 299.8% annualized yield on the Yes side, but the $0 24-hour volume and tight $7,147.59 open interest suggest severe illiquidity that likely inflates the yield figure. The price has climbed 7 cents over seven days to 39¢, and with 199 days to expiry and a neutral regime, the market appears to be pricing in meaningful uncertainty about Cleveland's 2026 postseason chances, though the high information arrival rate (2.4/h) indicates active discussion around the team's prospects.
Resolution rules
If Cleveland is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-CLE yes 100