Will Oakland win at least 65 games this season?
Prediction markets currently give a 98% probability that Will Oakland win at least 65 games this season?. This contract trades at 98¢ on Kalshi, closing November 8, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility with only $39 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 46¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility with only $39 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 46¢ price potentially unreliable. The massive 758% implied yield on the "No" side and 1546% realized volatility suggest the market has experienced wild swings—notably a dramatic 42-cent drop from 81¢ to 39¢ over seven days—indicating thin order books and possible price manipulation or data anomalies. With 205 days until expiration and a neutral regime, this micro-market lacks sufficient liquidity to serve as a meaningful probability signal for Oakland's 65-win threshold.
Resolution rules
If Oakland has 65+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLBWINS-ATH-26-T65 yes 100