Will Kansas City win at least 70 games this season?
Prediction markets currently give a 72% probability that Will Kansas City win at least 70 games this season?. This contract trades at 72¢ on Kalshi, closing November 8, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 89¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 22¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 89¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 22¢ spread. The 1678% realized volatility and 18.70 vol ratio indicate severe price instability, with the contract surging 22¢ over seven days, though the modest 0.4/h information arrival rate suggests this volatility may reflect thin-market noise rather than fundamental shifts. The asymmetric implied yields (56.2% vs 563.5%) and elevated cliff risk index of 3 warn that this market lacks sufficient depth for confident directional positioning ahead of the November 2026 expiration.
Resolution rules
If Kansas City has 70+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLBWINS-KC-26-T70 yes 100