Minnesota vs Los Angeles F Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Minnesota vs Los Angeles F Winner?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market displays severe illiquidity dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite an 8¢ spread and extreme implied yields (6176% on Yes), suggesting the 0¢ price is a stale or erroneous quote rather than genuine market consensus.
Analysis
This market displays severe illiquidity dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite an 8¢ spread and extreme implied yields (6176% on Yes), suggesting the 0¢ price is a stale or erroneous quote rather than genuine market consensus. The market has moved 4¢ to 22¢ over seven days with realized volatility at 6660%, indicating either data quality issues or genuine uncertainty around a tie outcome in an MLS match—notably, the original game date of April 25, 2026 has already passed relative to the May 9 close date, raising questions about whether this contract reflects an actual rescheduled fixture or a data error. With only 21 days to expiry, zero liquidity, and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, this market is essentially non-functional for trading purposes.
Resolution rules
If Tie wins the Minnesota vs Los Angeles F professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLSGAME-26APR25MINLAFC-TIE yes 100