What is the current probability for "Oklahoma City vs Phoenix: Second Half Total?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 87¢ (87% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Oklahoma City vs Phoenix: Second Half Total?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 537.4% and 12810.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Oklahoma City vs Phoenix: Second Half Total?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Oklahoma City vs Phoenix: Second Half Total?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 87% probability that Oklahoma City vs Phoenix: Second Half Total?. This contract trades at 87¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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87¢

Bid/Ask 81/100¢·Spread 19¢·Vol $11,402.65·OI $11,263.65·Closes May 12, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBA2HTOTAL-26APR27OKCPHX-107

7-day price56 snapshots · 1 regime

83¢83¢ current

Apr 271¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If the teams in the game collectively score more than 107.5 points in the 2nd Half of the Oklahoma City vs Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 537.4%

IY (No) 12810.4%

Adj IY 10187%

CRI 5

RV 41512%

VR 9.60

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	537.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	12810.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	10187%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	41512%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	9.60	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	3.5/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	4.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.20	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/28/2026, 3:30:54 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 3:38:54 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBA2HTOTAL-26APR27OKCPHX-107 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →