What is the current probability for "Amen Thompson: 2+ assists"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 90¢ (90% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 14, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Amen Thompson: 2+ assists"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 500.6% and 10389.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Amen Thompson: 2+ assists"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Amen Thompson: 2+ assists

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 90% probability that Amen Thompson: 2+ assists. This contract trades at 90¢ on Kalshi, closing May 14, 2026.

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90¢mid

Bid/Ask 82/98¢·Spread 16¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 14, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAAST-26APR29HOULAL-HOUATHOMPSON1-2

7-day price20 snapshots · 3 regime

83¢81¢ current

Apr 2781¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Amen Thompson records 2+ Assists in the Houston at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.6%

IY (No) 10389.8%

Adj IY 4181%

CRI 5

Overround 10.9%

LAS 0.20

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	500.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10389.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4181%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	10.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.20	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

16¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 2:07:55 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 1:53:53 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAAST-26APR29HOULAL-HOUATHOMPSON1-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →