What is the current probability for "Julius Randle: 20+ points"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Julius Randle: 20+ points"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1413.9% and 4876.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Julius Randle: 20+ points"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Julius Randle: 20+ points

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Julius Randle: 20+ points. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $16,853.19·OI $15,355.03·Closes May 12, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBAPTS-26APR27MINDEN-MINJRANDLE30-20

7-day price80 snapshots · 3 regime

90¢48¢ current

Apr 261¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Julius Randle records 20+ Points in the Minnesota vs Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1413.9%

IY (No) 4876.7%

Adj IY 4577%

CRI 2

RV 87710%

VR 8.29

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1413.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	4876.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4577%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	87710%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	8.29	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	1.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.06	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 4:58:12 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 4:53:54 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAPTS-26APR27MINDEN-MINJRANDLE30-20 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →