What is the current probability for "Jrue Holiday: 10+ points"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 87¢ (87% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Jrue Holiday: 10+ points"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 534.8% and 11097.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Jrue Holiday: 10+ points"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Jrue Holiday: 10+ points

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 87% probability that Jrue Holiday: 10+ points. This contract trades at 87¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

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87¢

Bid/Ask 82/87¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $10·OI $10·Closes May 13, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBAPTS-26APR28PORSAS-PORJHOLIDAY5-10

7-day price17 snapshots · 2 regime

83¢82¢ current

Apr 272¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Jrue Holiday records 10+ Points in the Portland vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 534.8%

IY (No) 11097.8%

Adj IY 5278%

CRI 5

Overround 11.8%

LAS 0.05

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	534.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11097.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5278%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	11.8%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.05	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

taker

Score

0.636

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 2:07:44 AM

Observability directEvent type sports

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 1:53:53 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAPTS-26APR28PORSAS-PORJHOLIDAY5-10 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →