What is the current probability for "Will Oklahoma City score over 98.5 points?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Oklahoma City score over 98.5 points?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 654.0% and 10464.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Oklahoma City score over 98.5 points?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Oklahoma City score over 98.5 points?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Will Oklahoma City score over 98.5 points?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $256.84·OI $274.84·Closes May 12, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26APR27OKCPHX-OKC98

7-day price135 snapshots · 5 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 2519¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If the number of points scored by Oklahoma City in the Oklahoma City vs Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026 is Above 98.5, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 654.0%

IY (No) 10464.4%

Adj IY 7848%

CRI 4

RV 875%

VR 2.63

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	654.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10464.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	7848%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	875%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.63	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	11.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.25	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/28/2026, 3:11:29 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 2:38:54 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26APR27OKCPHX-OKC98 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →