Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games
Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games. This contract trades at 35¢ on Kalshi, closing January 23, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $138 open interest, making the 15¢ spread and 518.5% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $138 open interest, making the 15¢ spread and 518.5% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The sharp 7-day price recovery from 3¢ to 20¢ suggests recent conviction buying, though the current 35¢ price still implies only a 35% probability that Las Vegas receives 5+ primetime slots—a notably low threshold for an NFL team in a major market. With 282 days until expiry and a moderate cliff risk index of 4, this appears to be a speculative position with minimal market depth rather than a liquid betting opportunity.
Resolution rules
If Las Vegas plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-LV yes 100