Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games
Prediction markets currently give a 75% probability that Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games. This contract trades at 75¢ on Kalshi, closing January 23, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal $175 open interest, making the 14¢ spread potentially unreliable for actual execution.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal $175 open interest, making the 14¢ spread potentially unreliable for actual execution. The Yes side's 82.9% implied yield appears attractive, but the No side's 202.7% yield and elevated cliff risk index of 2 suggest significant uncertainty about whether the 75¢ price accurately reflects San Francisco's primetime scheduling odds. The 8¢ price decline over seven days (69¢ to 61¢) combined with nearly three years to expiration indicates this market may be mispriced or simply abandoned by traders.
Resolution rules
If San Francisco plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-SF yes 100