What is the current probability for "Eastern Conference Finals Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 3¢ (3% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on July 15, 2026. 82 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Eastern Conference Finals Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 14316.9% and 13.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Eastern Conference Finals Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Eastern Conference Finals Winner?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing July 15, 2026. This Ottawa Senators market shows extreme mispricing with a 4119% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 10¢ price dramatically underestimates their playoff odds despite the team being a legitimate contender.

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3¢

Bid/Ask 2/3¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $9,138.12·OI $171,031.92·Closes Jul 15, 2026·82d remaining

KXNHLEAST-26-OTT

7-day price34 snapshots · 111 regime

11¢2¢ current

Apr 112¢Apr 24

Analysis

7d ago

This Ottawa Senators market shows extreme mispricing with a 4119% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 10¢ price dramatically underestimates their playoff odds despite the team being a legitimate contender. The 7-day rally from 6¢ to 9¢ indicates growing conviction among informed traders, yet volume remains thin at $589.17 daily, creating liquidity risk for larger positions. With 90 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 10, this market is vulnerable to sharp repricing as the 2025-26 season progresses and playoff seeding becomes clearer.

Resolution rules

If Ottawa Senators wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 14316.9%

IY (No) 13.7%

Adj IY 4773%

CRI 32

Overround -0.0%

LAS 0.33

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	14316.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	13.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4773%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.33	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.409

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 5:06:23 AM

Observability mediumEvent type sports

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 3:38:13 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLEAST-26-OTT yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →