What is the current probability for "Adelaide at Melbourne City: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 83¢ (83% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 10, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Adelaide at Melbourne City: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.0% and 10355.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Adelaide at Melbourne City: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Adelaide at Melbourne City: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 83% probability that Adelaide at Melbourne City: Totals. This contract trades at 83¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026.

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83¢mid

Bid/Ask 82/84¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 10, 2026·16d remaining

KXALEAGUETOTAL-26APR26MELADU-1

7-day price14 snapshots · 6 regime

82¢82¢ current

Apr 2375¢Apr 23

Resolution rules

If Adelaide and Melbourne City collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Melbourne City vs Adelaide professional A-League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.0%

IY (No) 10355.5%

Adj IY 10103%

CRI 5

RV 2300%

VR 9.41

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10355.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	10103%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2300%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	9.41	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/24/2026, 6:01:14 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 6:08:16 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXALEAGUETOTAL-26APR26MELADU-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →