Los Angeles wins by over 1.5 goals?
Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that Los Angeles wins by over 1.5 goals?. This contract trades at 20¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026. This market displays extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite an 18-day window until resolution of a specific NHL matchup (Colorado at Los Angeles, originally scheduled April 23).
Analysis
This market displays extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite an 18-day window until resolution of a specific NHL matchup (Colorado at Los Angeles, originally scheduled April 23). The 0¢ Yes price contradicts the astronomical 48,179.5% implied yield, suggesting the market lacks sufficient trading activity to establish meaningful prices, while the 29¢ spread and 4,850% realized volatility indicate severe mispricing or data anomalies rather than genuine market sentiment. The modest 7-day price movement (2¢ to 4¢) and neutral regime score suggest minimal information arrival despite the 2.1/hour rate, making this an unreliable venue for actual prediction or hedging on this outcome.
Resolution rules
If Los Angeles wins by over 1.5 goals in the Colorado at Los Angeles professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR23COLLA-LA1 yes 100