Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals?
Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026. This market displays extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction typical of deeply inactive contracts, with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 54-cent spread.
Analysis
This market displays extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction typical of deeply inactive contracts, with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a massive 54-cent spread. The 0¢ Yes price implies Colorado has virtually no chance of winning by 3+ goals against LA, yet the implied yield of 41,213% on the Yes side signals severe mispricing rather than genuine probability assessment—such yields only appear in markets with minimal trading activity and wide bid-ask gaps. With 21 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this contract carries substantial execution risk and should be treated as illiquid until meaningful volume emerges.
Resolution rules
If Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals in the Colorado at Los Angeles professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR26COLLA-COL2 yes 100