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What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce

Clip-on device for clothing is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 10 inside What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce.

Price history

21¢ current

5¢
20¢30¢
May 11, 2026Jun 4, 2026

Contract brief

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Clip-on device for clothing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Clip-on device for clothing

Rank

#2 of 10

Leader

Earbuds/Headphones 33¢

Range

3¢-33¢

Family volume

$494

Identifier

KXOAIHARDWARE-27-CLIPON

Jun 8, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

21¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

22¢

Spread

Reported volume

$17K

Family rank

#2 of 10

10 outcomes · What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$494

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 22¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
21¢500
6¢7
5¢688
4¢50
3¢181
AskSize
22¢28
29¢150
30¢500
62¢5
63¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Clip-on device for clothing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXOAIHARDWARE-27-CLIPON

SF Signal
SF Index
331.17
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 22¢, -1¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

662.3%

IY (No)

46.8%

Adj IY

331%

CRI

4

Overround

0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Full indicator table

662.3%
46.8%
Adj IY
331%
4
Overround
0.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.