What is the current probability for "What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 10¢ (10% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 1, 2027.

Where can I trade "What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.

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10¢

Bid/Ask 2/10¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $1,100·Closes Jan 1, 2027

KXOAIHARDWARE-27-WATCH

7-day price32 snapshots

3¢2¢ current

Apr 82¢Apr 12

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at 16¢(Δ -6¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.62IY 757.5%Close-time delta 39h

Resolution rules

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Watch before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.432

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 12:40:52 AM

Observability mediumEvent type unknown

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXOAIHARDWARE-27-WATCH yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →