What is the current probability for "Al-Fateh at Al-Shabab: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Al-Fateh at Al-Shabab: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.0% and 11893.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Al-Fateh at Al-Shabab: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Al-Fateh at Al-Shabab: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Al-Fateh at Al-Shabab: Totals. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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85¢mid

Bid/Ask 83/86¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 12, 2026·15d remaining

KXSAUDIPLTOTAL-26APR28SHAFAT-1

7-day price109 snapshots · 4 regime

83¢83¢ current

Apr 253¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Al-Fateh and Al-Shabab collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Al-Shabab vs Al-Fateh professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.0%

IY (No) 11893.9%

Adj IY 11465%

CRI 5

RV 18546%

VR 13.96

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11893.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11465%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	18546%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	13.96	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	1.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.04	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 4:35:56 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 4:23:54 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXSAUDIPLTOTAL-26APR28SHAFAT-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →