What is the current probability for "PSG vs Bayern Munich Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 35¢ (35% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 18 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "PSG vs Bayern Munich Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 3863.7% and 1025.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "PSG vs Bayern Munich Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

PSG vs Bayern Munich Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that PSG vs Bayern Munich Winner?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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35¢

Bid/Ask 34/35¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $24,574.37·OI $180,859.48·Closes May 12, 2026·18d remaining

KXUCLGAME-26APR28PSGBMU-BMU

7-day price90 snapshots · 119 regime

46¢34¢ current

Apr 155¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

If Bayern Munich wins the PSG vs Bayern Munich professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3863.7%

IY (No) 1025.4%

Adj IY 1875%

CRI 2

Overround -0.0%

LAS 0.03

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	3863.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1025.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1875%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.03	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 10:58:01 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 10:53:43 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXUCLGAME-26APR28PSGBMU-BMU yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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