Australia unemployment rate in Apr 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 65% probability that Australia unemployment rate in Apr 2026?. This contract trades at 65¢ on Kalshi, closing May 21, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 12¢ spread and 739% implied yield on the Yes side unreliable indicators of true market sentiment.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 12¢ spread and 739% implied yield on the Yes side unreliable indicators of true market sentiment. The 0¢ price suggests near-certainty that Australia's unemployment will remain at or below 4.2% in April 2026, but with only 34 days to expiry and no trading activity, this appears to be a dead market rather than a genuine consensus forecast. The 1530.7% implied yield on the No side reflects the mathematical artifact of pricing near zero rather than actionable market intelligence.
Resolution rules
If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.2% for Apr 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXUE-AUS26APRIL-4.2 yes 100