Delcy Rodríguez · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01
Delcy Rodríguez is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 90¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01.
Price history
90¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Delcy Rodríguez de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Delcy Rodríguez
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
Delcy Rodríguez 90¢
Range
1¢-90¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DROD
Jun 8, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
90¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$15K
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
90 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Delcy Rodríguez de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DROD
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 91¢, -1¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Delcy Rodríguez 90¢
Current share
—
Delcy Rodríguez
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DROD
María Corina Machado
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-MMAC
Diosdado Cabello
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DCAB
Edmundo González Urrutia
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-EGON
Gustavo González López
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-GLOP
Jorge Rodríguez
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-JROD
Nicolás Maduro
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-NMAD
Vladimir Padrino López
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-VLOP
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.