Jorge Rodríguez · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01
Jorge Rodríguez is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01.
Price history
1¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Jorge Rodríguez de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jorge Rodríguez
Rank
#3 of 8
Leader
Delcy Rodríguez 90¢
Range
1¢-90¢
Family volume
$1
Identifier
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-JROD
Jun 6, 2026, 6:22 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#3 of 8
8 outcomes · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$1
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jorge Rodríguez de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-JROD
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at —.
Event family
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Delcy Rodríguez 90¢
Current share
0%
Delcy Rodríguez
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DROD
María Corina Machado
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-MMAC
Jorge Rodríguez
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-JROD
Diosdado Cabello
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DCAB
Edmundo González Urrutia
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-EGON
Gustavo González López
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-GLOP
Nicolás Maduro
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-NMAD
Vladimir Padrino López
kalshi · KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-VLOP
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.