Above 500000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026
Above 500000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 500k is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 9 inside KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01.
Price history
22¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If the total number of gonorrhea cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 500000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 500000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 500k
Rank
#9 of 9
Leader
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 285k 82¢
Range
18¢-82¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A500000
May 28, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#9 of 9
9 outcomes · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total number of gonorrhea cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 500000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A500000
Event family
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 285k 82¢
Current share
—
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 285k
kalshi · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A285000
Above 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 300k
kalshi · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A300000
Above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 325k
kalshi · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A325000
Above 350000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 350k
kalshi · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A350000
Above 375000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 375k
kalshi · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A375000
Above 400000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 400k
kalshi · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A400000
Above 425000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 425k
kalshi · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A425000
Above 450000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 450k
kalshi · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A450000
Above 500000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 500k
kalshi · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A500000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.