Above 350000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 62% across 9 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
62%
9 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$506
9 contracts
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
222 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
9 clusters across 9 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the united states during 2026: above 285k
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 285k
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A285000
Cluster 2
above 450000 gonorrhea cases in the united states during 2026: above 450k
Above 450000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 450k
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A450000
Cluster 3
above 300000 gonorrhea cases in the united states during 2026: above 300k
Above 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 300k
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A300000
Cluster 4
above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the united states during 2026: above 325k
Above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 325k
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A325000
Cluster 5
above 350000 gonorrhea cases in the united states during 2026: above 350k
Above 350000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 350k
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A350000
Cluster 6
above 375000 gonorrhea cases in the united states during 2026: above 375k
Above 375000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 375k
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A375000
Cluster 7
above 400000 gonorrhea cases in the united states during 2026: above 400k
Above 400000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 400k
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A400000
Cluster 8
above 425000 gonorrhea cases in the united states during 2026: above 425k
Above 425000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 425k
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A425000
Cluster 9
above 500000 gonorrhea cases in the united states during 2026: above 500k
Above 500000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 500k
KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A500000
What moved the line
- May 17Above 425k↓28pp44→16¢ · Kalshi
- May 18Above 425k↑25pp16→41¢ · Kalshi
- May 17Above 300k↓20pp79→59¢ · Kalshi
- May 18Above 400k↑20pp30→50¢ · Kalshi
- May 17Above 375k↓19pp58→39¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 0d
- Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face before Jan 1, 2027last 82% · 0d
- Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinetlast 95% · 0d
- Will Jerome Powell be out as Chair pro tempore of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 20, 2026nolast 3% · 1d
- How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during next The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnellnolast 3% · 1d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.