SimpleFunctions

Above 350000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026

Above 350000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 350k is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 68¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 9 inside KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01.

Price history

83¢ current

+81¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 14, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If the total number of gonorrhea cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 350000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 350000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 350k

Rank

#4 of 9

Leader

Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026: Above 285k 81¢

Range

19¢-81¢

Family volume

$22

Identifier

KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A350000

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

83¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

68¢

Ask

72¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#4 of 9

9 outcomes · KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$22

Orderbook snapshot

68 / 72¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
68¢501
51¢83
50¢91
49¢104
48¢149
AskSize
72¢1
73¢3
75¢500
86¢48
87¢56

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the total number of gonorrhea cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 350000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXGONORRHEACOUNT-27JAN01-A350000

SF Signal
SF Index
178.04
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

78.9%

IY (No)

356.1%

Adj IY

178%

CRI

2

Overround

4.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

78.9%
356.1%
Adj IY
178%
2
Overround
4.0%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.