SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 19, 202615 days left

Will Mark Wheeler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$2K volume
$13K liquidity
13% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$19K

Best sibling

Kyle Sweetser 81¢

Ticker

0x79e4ed16…d773

Price history

5¢ current

4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 5¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢4.5K
100¢132
100¢6
5¢30
4¢51
4¢60
3¢66
2¢203
AskSize
5¢86
5¢30
6¢51
7¢363
7¢100
8¢162
43¢158
43¢80

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 19, 2026

Identifier

0x79e4ed16…d773

Event family

Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$19K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Kyle Sweetser 81¢

Current share

13%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

44878.0%

IY (No)

124.3%

Adj IY

8976%

CRI

19

Overround

-0.0%

LAS

0.60

Regime

neutral

Score

0.477

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

44878.0%
124.3%
Adj IY
8976%
19
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.60

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