What is the current probability for "Alperen Sengun: 4+ assists"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 14, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Alperen Sengun: 4+ assists"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 500.6% and 10389.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Alperen Sengun: 4+ assists"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Alperen Sengun: 4+ assists

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Alperen Sengun: 4+ assists. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 14, 2026.

██████████████████████████████████░░░░░░

85¢mid

Bid/Ask 82/87¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 14, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAAST-26APR29HOULAL-HOUASENGUN28-4

7-day price31 snapshots · 8 regime

84¢82¢ current

Apr 2710¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Alperen Sengun records 4+ Assists in the Houston at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.6%

IY (No) 10389.8%

Adj IY 4878%

CRI 5

Overround 10.9%

LAS 0.06

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	500.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10389.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4878%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	10.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.06	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 2:07:54 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 1:53:53 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAAST-26APR29HOULAL-HOUASENGUN28-4 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →