What is the current probability for "Alperen Sengun: 6+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 86¢ (86% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 14, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Alperen Sengun: 6+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 497.7% and 10329.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Alperen Sengun: 6+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Alperen Sengun: 6+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 86% probability that Alperen Sengun: 6+ rebounds. This contract trades at 86¢ on Kalshi, closing May 14, 2026.

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86¢mid

Bid/Ask 83/89¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 14, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR29HOULAL-HOUASENGUN28-6

7-day price25 snapshots · 1 regime

88¢82¢ current

Apr 2750¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Alperen Sengun records 6+ Rebounds in the Houston at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 497.7%

IY (No) 10329.1%

Adj IY 10329%

CRI 5

RV 1076%

VR 3.72

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	497.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10329.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	10329%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1076%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.72	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	11.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

6¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 11:39:59 PM

Indicators computed 4/27/2026, 11:38:54 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR29HOULAL-HOUASENGUN28-6 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →