Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24?
Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Polymarket, closing May 11, 2026. This micro-cap market on Brooks Rosser shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $3,314 open interest, creating a distorted 8,903% implied yield that reflects pricing inefficiency rather than genuine opportunity.
Analysis
This micro-cap market on Brooks Rosser shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $3,314 open interest, creating a distorted 8,903% implied yield that reflects pricing inefficiency rather than genuine opportunity. The 5¢ spread is substantial relative to the 14¢ price, and the realized volatility of 1,695% signals wild swings driven by minimal trading activity rather than fundamental information—the price has only moved 2¢ over seven days despite the chaotic vol metrics. With 23 days to the May 11 finale and identical pricing across Polymarket and Kalshi, this appears to be a thin, illiquid niche bet where the extreme yield metrics are artifacts of low liquidity rather than indicators of mispricing.
Also on kalshi at 17¢(Δ -7¢)
Resolution rules
The season finale of American Idol is scheduled for May 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.
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Trade
sf trade 0x5eb37fd7b372c42d67ea381c9a26a70c19933360d191b3ca151254d960c43940 yes 100