Arizona vs Texas Winner?
This contract is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$132K
Best sibling
Arizona 45¢
Ticker
KXMLBGAME-26MAY112005AZTEX-TEX
Market snapshot
Texas in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Arizona vs Texas Winner?. The displayed quote is 55¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $101K. In the Arizona vs Texas Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Texas
Family rank
#1 of 2
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
55¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 15, 2026
24h volume
$101K
Family context
2 outcomes · Arizona vs Texas Winner
Quote range
45¢-54¢
Family leader
Texas 54¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC · 1m ago
Venue identifier: KXMLBGAME-26MAY112005AZTEX-TEX. Family volume: $132K.
Price history
55¢ current
+34¢Orderbook snapshot
54 / 55¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Texas wins the Arizona vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 15, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBGAME-26MAY112005AZTEX-TEX
Event family
Arizona vs Texas Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$132K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Texas 54¢
Current share
76%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 55% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.