Atletico wins by over 2.5 goals?
This contract is priced at 16¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 15¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Atletico wins by over 1.5 goals 28¢
Ticker
KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY17ATMGIR-ATM2
Market snapshot
Atletico wins by over 2.5 goals in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Atletico wins by over 2.5 goals?. The displayed quote is 16¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY17ATMGIR family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC.
Outcome
Atletico wins by over 2.5 goals
Family rank
#2 of 4
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
16¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until May 31, 2026
Reported volume
—
Family context
4 outcomes · KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY17ATMGIR
Quote range
2¢-28¢
Family leader
Atletico wins by over 1.5 goals 28¢
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY17ATMGIR-ATM2. Family volume: —.
Price history
16¢ current
+15¢Orderbook snapshot
8 / 23¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Atletico vs Girona professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY17ATMGIR-ATM2
Event family
KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY17ATMGIR.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Atletico wins by over 1.5 goals 28¢
Current share
—
Atletico wins by over 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY17ATMGIR-ATM2
Atletico wins by over 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY17ATMGIR-ATM1
Girona wins by over 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY17ATMGIR-GIR1
Girona wins by over 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY17ATMGIR-GIR2
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.