Australia unemployment rate in Apr 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 91% probability that Australia unemployment rate in Apr 2026?. This contract trades at 91¢ on Kalshi, closing May 21, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the quoted metrics unreliable—the 0¢ price likely reflects no actual trading rather than genuine market consensus.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the quoted metrics unreliable—the 0¢ price likely reflects no actual trading rather than genuine market consensus. The massive 12¢ spread and astronomical implied yields (282.8% for Yes, 4001.6% for No) are characteristic of thin markets where even small trades can distort pricing. With only 34 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, this contract is approaching resolution with minimal liquidity to facilitate position adjustments, suggesting traders should avoid this venue until meaningful volume emerges.
Resolution rules
If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.1% for Apr 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXUE-AUS26APRIL-4.1 yes 100