Australia unemployment rate in Apr 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Australia unemployment rate in Apr 2026?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Kalshi, closing May 21, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 12¢ spread and astronomical 10755% implied yield on the Yes side unreliable indicators of true market sentiment.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 12¢ spread and astronomical 10755% implied yield on the Yes side unreliable indicators of true market sentiment. The 0¢ price suggests near-certainty that Australia's unemployment will remain at or below 4.4% in April 2026, though this conviction is likely an artifact of minimal trading rather than genuine consensus. With only 34 days to expiry and a maximum cliff risk index of 10, this contract appears essentially dead and should be avoided until meaningful liquidity emerges.
Resolution rules
If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.4% for Apr 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXUE-AUS26APRIL-4.4 yes 100