SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 10, 2026

Barcelona wins by over 2.5 goals?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 13 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$146K volume
$98K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$146K

Best sibling

Ticker

KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY10BARRMA-BAR2

Market snapshot

Barcelona wins by over 2.5 goals in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Barcelona wins by over 2.5 goals?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $146K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 5:34 PM UTC.

Outcome

Barcelona wins by over 2.5 goals

Family rank

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Past listed close May 10, 2026

Reported volume

$146K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 13, 2026, 5:34 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY10BARRMA-BAR2. Family volume: $146K.

Price history

1¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 10, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Kalshi
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 10, 2026

Identifier

KXLALIGASPREAD-26MAY10BARRMA-BAR2

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$146K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Barcelona wins by over 2.5 goals 1¢

Current share

100%

Browse this series

La Liga Match Spread Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXLALIGASPREAD series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.