What is the current probability for "Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 41¢ (41% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on December 16, 2026. 233 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 225.9% and 109.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 41% probability that Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?. This contract trades at 41¢ on Polymarket, closing December 16, 2026.

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41¢

Bid/Ask 32/50¢·Spread 18¢·Vol $0·OI $809.343·Closes Dec 16, 2026·233d remaining

0xfd34425f6004a1aa44b3daf957755f6009f1d825726c64f56e84f5f6a8593df7

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Brazil Série A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Brazil Série A per the rules of Brazil Série A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Brazil Série A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 225.9%

IY (No) 109.1%

Adj IY 63%

CRI 1

Overround 0.3%

LAS 0.44

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	225.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	109.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	63%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.44	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/27/2026, 11:05:34 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 10:53:32 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xfd34425f6004a1aa44b3daf957755f6009f1d825726c64f56e84f5f6a8593df7 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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