Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to Score

Prediction markets currently give a 51% probability that Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to Score. This contract trades at 51¢ on Polymarket, closing April 25, 2026. This illiquid K-League both-teams-to-score market shows extreme yield metrics (6323% for Yes, 6850% for No) driven by minimal open interest of just $270.50 and zero 24-hour volume, suggesting the pricing may be distorted rather than reflecting genuine probability.

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51¢
Bid/Ask 49/53¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1,160.034·Closes Apr 25, 2026·2d remaining
0x3a362927ac20cbde1869ed859190dc58d0d0f2ed27e8febf1bfbf9235b7b42c7
7-day price27 snapshots · 5 regime
53¢51¢ current
Apr 2149¢Apr 22

Analysis

3d ago

This illiquid K-League both-teams-to-score market shows extreme yield metrics (6323% for Yes, 6850% for No) driven by minimal open interest of just $270.50 and zero 24-hour volume, suggesting the pricing may be distorted rather than reflecting genuine probability. The 55¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 51¢ midpoint, and with only 6 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, there's significant execution risk for any position taken. The neutral regime score and symmetrical high yields across both sides suggest this market lacks conviction and may be undertraded, making it potentially unreliable for serious prediction purposes.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming K-League game between Bucheon FC 1995 and Gimcheon Sangmu FC, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Bucheon FC 1995 and Gimcheon Sangmu FC each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on kleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 15551.5%
IY (No) 16846.9%
Adj IY 8423%
CRI 1
Overround 1.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)15551.5%
IY (No)16846.9%
Adj IY8423%
CRI1
Overround1.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 5:55:36 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:53:23 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x3a362927ac20cbde1869ed859190dc58d0d0f2ed27e8febf1bfbf9235b7b42c7 yes 100

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