Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)

Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5). This contract trades at 9¢ on Polymarket, closing April 25, 2026. This illiquid K-League spread market shows extreme yield metrics (10,697% for Yes) driven by its 38¢ price and imminent 6-day expiry, but the $0 24-hour volume and 62¢ bid-ask spread suggest minimal trading activity and potential difficulty executing positions.

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9¢
Bid/Ask 5/13¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $259.286·Closes Apr 25, 2026·2d remaining
0x6e9cf6f11f6fcd7843d714fb25dce8d8f7554d22589701f405ee26fe981b6a3d
7-day price76 snapshots · 5 regime
46¢9¢ current
Apr 199¢Apr 22

Analysis

3d ago

This illiquid K-League spread market shows extreme yield metrics (10,697% for Yes) driven by its 38¢ price and imminent 6-day expiry, but the $0 24-hour volume and 62¢ bid-ask spread suggest minimal trading activity and potential difficulty executing positions. The price has declined 7 points over the past week (45¢ to 38¢), indicating weakening conviction in a Bucheon FC 1995 victory by 2+ goals, though the low Cliff Risk Index of 2 suggests relatively stable implied probabilities near expiration. With only $156.5K open interest and extreme yield figures that typically reflect illiquidity rather than genuine opportunity, this market appears to be a thin, speculative venue with significant execution risk.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Bucheon FC 1995" if Bucheon FC 1995 win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Gimcheon Sangmu FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on kleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 2000.5%
Adj IY 50000%
CRI 8
Overround 1.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)2000.5%
Adj IY50000%
CRI8
Overround1.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 5:56:02 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:53:23 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x6e9cf6f11f6fcd7843d714fb25dce8d8f7554d22589701f405ee26fe981b6a3d yes 100

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