Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5

Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5. This contract trades at 11¢ on Polymarket, closing April 25, 2026. This K-League totals market shows extreme distress signals with a massive 53¢ spread and zero 24-hour volume despite $180k open interest, suggesting severe liquidity constraints and potential stale pricing.

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11¢
Bid/Ask 8/13¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $281.578·Closes Apr 25, 2026·2d remaining
0x9b98b27095c1cefc343c5a0a02fcb8d3d2816713833cfd502182e408978074c4
7-day price91 snapshots · 2 regime
35¢11¢ current
Apr 209¢Apr 22

Analysis

3d ago

This K-League totals market shows extreme distress signals with a massive 53¢ spread and zero 24-hour volume despite $180k open interest, suggesting severe liquidity constraints and potential stale pricing. The astronomical implied yields (12,176% for Yes, 3,530% for No) are mathematical artifacts of the wide bid-ask gap rather than genuine arbitrage opportunities, indicating the market may be illiquid or mispriced. With only 6 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, this contract faces imminent resolution risk, making it unsuitable for most traders unless they have direct information on the match outcome.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming K-League game between Bucheon FC 1995 and Gimcheon Sangmu FC, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Bucheon FC 1995 and Gimcheon Sangmu FC combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on kleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 1798.5%
Adj IY 50000%
CRI 9
Overround 1.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)1798.5%
Adj IY50000%
CRI9
Overround1.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 5:58:23 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:53:23 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x9b98b27095c1cefc343c5a0a02fcb8d3d2816713833cfd502182e408978074c4 yes 100

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