Ralph Nwobi · CA-07 Primary Winners
Ralph Nwobi is priced at 12¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside CA-07 Primary Winners.
Price history
12¢ current
−7¢Contract brief
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Outcome
Ralph Nwobi
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
Doris Matsui 98¢
Range
3¢-98¢
Family volume
$13K
Identifier
0x3a53dd1a...fc11
May 28, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$88
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · CA-07 Primary Winners
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$13K
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0x3a53dd1a…fc11
Event family
CA-07 Primary Winners.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$13K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Doris Matsui 98¢
Current share
37%
Doris Matsui
polymarket · 0xb1df82be7ce737d52be7354722539db33e55c1254a05b8aa07940d540b31e501
Mai Vang
polymarket · 0x52a1f17e0ff3f91e7e1454943d095aa713c93525e60c12b73ca87e0f03a9a1a5
Ralph Nwobi
polymarket · 0x3a53dd1a95b1e781a703160214e162eb095ee89794c874502a29cbddb6c6fc11
Zachariah Wooden
polymarket · 0x0f9a08b2e00463d30dfe0d41ca7a553e42061359475c33145c1e359af97740dc
Enayat Nazhat
polymarket · 0x0e139953b1123f4fad7b2801ef01aff3e2b7784917ffb7e7c5ad3819a6bc28d7
Robert Morin
polymarket · 0x5c4d3c29f86925d58b980dbed3ee1b6b9cf541c8095dadaa8a27e2197d06ee71
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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