Zachariah Wooden · CA-07 Primary Winners
Zachariah Wooden is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside CA-07 Primary Winners.
Price history
13¢ current
−16¢Contract brief
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Outcome
Zachariah Wooden
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
Doris Matsui 98¢
Range
3¢-98¢
Family volume
$13K
Identifier
0x0f9a08b2...40dc
May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · CA-07 Primary Winners
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$13K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0x0f9a08b2…40dc
Event family
CA-07 Primary Winners.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$13K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Doris Matsui 98¢
Current share
11%
Doris Matsui
polymarket · 0xb1df82be7ce737d52be7354722539db33e55c1254a05b8aa07940d540b31e501
Mai Vang
polymarket · 0x52a1f17e0ff3f91e7e1454943d095aa713c93525e60c12b73ca87e0f03a9a1a5
Ralph Nwobi
polymarket · 0x3a53dd1a95b1e781a703160214e162eb095ee89794c874502a29cbddb6c6fc11
Zachariah Wooden
polymarket · 0x0f9a08b2e00463d30dfe0d41ca7a553e42061359475c33145c1e359af97740dc
Enayat Nazhat
polymarket · 0x0e139953b1123f4fad7b2801ef01aff3e2b7784917ffb7e7c5ad3819a6bc28d7
Robert Morin
polymarket · 0x5c4d3c29f86925d58b980dbed3ee1b6b9cf541c8095dadaa8a27e2197d06ee71
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 13% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.