Carolina wins by over 1.5 goals?

Prediction markets currently give a 33% probability that Carolina wins by over 1.5 goals?. This contract trades at 33¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market shows extreme dysfunction with zero liquidity ($0 volume, $0 open interest) and a nonsensical 61¢ spread despite a 0¢ price, suggesting no active trading or potentially a data error.

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33¢mid
Bid/Ask 22/43¢·Spread 21¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 9, 2026·16d remaining
KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25CAROTT-CAR1
7-day price252 snapshots · 4 regime
39¢22¢ current
Apr 184¢Apr 23

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme dysfunction with zero liquidity ($0 volume, $0 open interest) and a nonsensical 61¢ spread despite a 0¢ price, suggesting no active trading or potentially a data error. The astronomical 41,314.9% implied yield on the Yes side is mathematically meaningless given the zero price and indicates the market lacks meaningful price discovery. With the underlying game scheduled for April 25, 2026 but the market not closing until May 9, 2026, there's a 14-day gap that creates unusual cliff risk (index of 24), making this contract unsuitable for trading until liquidity materializes.

Resolution rules

If Carolina wins by over 1.5 goals in the Carolina at Ottawa professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 8646.7%
IY (No) 611.0%
Adj IY 4323%
CRI 4
Overround -0.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)8646.7%
IY (No)611.0%
Adj IY4323%
CRI4
Overround-0.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
21¢
Computed
4/23/2026, 10:05:02 PM
Indicators computed 4/23/2026, 9:53:13 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25CAROTT-CAR1 yes 100

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