What is the current probability for "Carolina wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 42¢ (42% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 9, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Carolina wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 30537.1% and 173.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Carolina wins by over 2.5 goals?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Carolina wins by over 2.5 goals?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 42% probability that Carolina wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 42¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market shows zero trading activity with $0 volume and open interest, suggesting it either hasn't attracted trader interest or the underlying game may have been postponed or cancelled.

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42¢

Bid/Ask 7/35¢·Spread 28¢·Vol $0·OI $10·Closes May 9, 2026·16d remaining

KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25CAROTT-CAR2

7-day price187 snapshots · 4 regime

27¢7¢ current

Apr 181¢Apr 23

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows zero trading activity with $0 volume and open interest, suggesting it either hasn't attracted trader interest or the underlying game may have been postponed or cancelled. The 0¢ price implies the market is pricing Carolina's chances of winning by 2.5+ goals as essentially impossible, though the 61¢ spread indicates significant uncertainty about true fair value. With the original game date of April 25, 2026 apparently passed or unresolved, clarification on the event status is needed before this market can be meaningfully analyzed.

Resolution rules

If Carolina wins by over 2.5 goals in the Carolina at Ottawa professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 30537.1%

IY (No) 173.0%

Adj IY 15269%

CRI 13

Overround -0.4%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	30537.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	173.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	15269%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	13	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

28¢

Computed

4/23/2026, 10:04:00 PM

Indicators computed 4/23/2026, 9:53:13 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25CAROTT-CAR2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →