SimpleFunctions

Will Michael Kim make the cut for Charles Schwab Challenge

Michael Kim is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside Charles Schwab Challenge.

Price history

61¢ current

+7¢
50¢60¢
May 25, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Michael Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Michael Kim

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Akshay Bhatia 69¢

Range

41¢-69¢

Family volume

$23K

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-MKIM

May 27, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

61¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

60¢

Ask

61¢

Spread

24h volume

$903

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · Charles Schwab Challenge

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Family volume

$23K

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 61¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
60¢360
59¢341
58¢300
55¢58
54¢5.4K
AskSize
61¢23
62¢360
63¢2.7K
64¢8.8K
66¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Michael Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-CHSC26-MKIM

SF Signal
SF Index
873.26
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Cut Made Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGAMAKECUT series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

776.2%

IY (No)

1746.5%

Adj IY

873%

CRI

2

Overround

68.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

776.2%
1746.5%
Adj IY
873%
2
Overround
68.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.