SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 15, 20264 days left

Chicago C vs Atlanta Winner?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

53¢
$10K volume
$9K liquidity
71% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$14K

Best sibling

Chicago C 47¢

Ticker

KXMLBGAME-26MAY121915CHCATL-ATL

Market snapshot

Atlanta in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Chicago C vs Atlanta Winner?. The displayed quote is 53¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $9K. In the Chicago C vs Atlanta Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC.

Outcome

Atlanta

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

53¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 15, 2026

24h volume

$9K

Family context

2 outcomes · Chicago C vs Atlanta Winner

Quote range

47¢-52¢

Family leader

Atlanta 52¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBGAME-26MAY121915CHCATL-ATL. Family volume: $14K.

Price history

53¢ current

+36¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

52 / 53¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
52¢33K
51¢28K
50¢31K
49¢3.5K
48¢2.6K
AskSize
53¢3.0K
54¢3.6K
55¢56K
56¢110K
57¢110K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Atlanta wins the Chicago C vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 15, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26MAY121915CHCATL-ATL

SF Signal
SF Index
9438.42
Regime
neutral

Event family

Chicago C vs Atlanta Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$14K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Atlanta 52¢

Current share

64%

Browse this series

MLB Game Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

VR

1.05

IAR

2.1/h

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
VR
1.05
IAR
2.1/h
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.