China unemployment rate in April 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 65% probability that China unemployment rate in April 2026?. This contract trades at 65¢ on Kalshi, closing May 18, 2026. This market shows zero trading activity with no open interest and a $0 volume, indicating severe illiquidity and a complete absence of price discovery.
Analysis
This market shows zero trading activity with no open interest and a $0 volume, indicating severe illiquidity and a complete absence of price discovery. The 98¢ spread is extraordinarily wide, reflecting the market's dysfunction rather than genuine uncertainty about whether China's unemployment will exceed 5.2% in April 2026. With the 0¢ price implying near-zero probability of unemployment rising above that threshold, this appears to be a newly listed or abandoned contract that lacks sufficient participant interest to establish meaningful odds.
Resolution rules
If the China unemployment rate is above 5.2% for April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXUE-CHN26APR-5.2 yes 100