China unemployment rate in April 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that China unemployment rate in April 2026?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Kalshi, closing May 18, 2026. This market shows zero trading activity with $0 volume and open interest, indicating no liquidity whatsoever despite a 98-cent spread and resolution just over a year away.
Analysis
This market shows zero trading activity with $0 volume and open interest, indicating no liquidity whatsoever despite a 98-cent spread and resolution just over a year away. The 0% implied probability at 0¢ suggests the contract hasn't attracted any bids, likely because traders assess the probability of China's unemployment exceeding 5.4% as negligible or the market simply lacks awareness. With such illiquidity and an extreme spread, this contract is currently non-functional as a price discovery mechanism.
Resolution rules
If the China unemployment rate is above 5.4% for April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXUE-CHN26APR-5.4 yes 100