Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 goals?

Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026.

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16¢
Bid/Ask 16/17¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,913.07·OI $1,965.25·Closes May 9, 2026·14d remaining
KXMLSSPREAD-26APR25CINNYRB-CIN2
7-day price61 snapshots · 5 regime
16¢16¢ current
Apr 211¢Apr 25

Resolution rules

If Cincinnati wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Cincinnati vs New York professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 13531.9%
IY (No) 491.0%
Adj IY 5920%
CRI 5
Overround -0.4%
LAS 0.13
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)13531.9%
IY (No)491.0%
Adj IY5920%
CRI5
Overround-0.4%
LAS0.13

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 7:46:06 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 7:38:50 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXMLSSPREAD-26APR25CINNYRB-CIN2 yes 100

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