Will Club Independiente Petrolero vs. FC Universitario end in a draw?

This market displays extreme anomalies that suggest it may be inactive or illiquid despite $184K open interest: the 31¢ price implies only a 31% draw probability, yet the Yes yield of 13,985% is wildly disproportionate to the No yield of 3,097%, indicating severe mispricing or a liquidity trap. With zero 24-hour volume, a 48¢ spread, and just 6 days to resolution before the April 24 game, this appears to be a dead market where the last trade was stale and no participants are actively arbitraging the obvious imbalance. The 1,063% realized volatility and 2.0 cliff risk index further suggest this is either abandoned or subject to technical glitches rather than genuine market sentiment.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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